AI CapEx、电力与数据中心投资追踪

云厂商 CapEx 周期、电力瓶颈、数据中心融资与二阶传导交易——追踪 AI 基建资金的真实流向。

ai capex 2026 · 数据中心投资 · AI 基建资本开支 · 电力瓶颈

日期	事件	读数
9/16	Amazon × Generac	backup-generator deal up to $8B (first phase $2.4B, 2027–28)
9/17	Ratepayer Protection Act	House passed 417–3; stalled in Senate — data centers ≥150MW to self-fund grid upgrades
9/17	Oregon data center report	111 facilities consume nearly 25% of state power
9/21 (eff.)	S&P index changes	Bloom Energy joins S&P 500 ($25B backlog); SNDK joins S&P 100
9/21	Texas halts ALL DC environmental permits	Abbott directs TCEQ pause pending grid/water audit; expansion of earlier moratorium
9/21	Morgan Stanley power shortfall raised to 33GW	same day: California enacts 7 DC power/water laws — bottleneck migrates from power to permits/politics
9/22	Texas freeze's political engine confirmed	Bloomberg ties the permit halt to a tightening governor's race; NJ fines Vineland DC $1M for unpermitted generators; California details energy-oversight rules
9/22	Alibaba 20GW by 2032 target	cloud DC capacity target with RMB 380B capex unchanged; Citi: ~$160B external cloud revenue by FY33 (~40% CAGR)
9/22-23	Texas freeze extends to electric permits	one week after the water-use directive, data-center electric permitting halts too; Utility Dive tracks national anti-speculation momentum — permitting-window scarcity deepens
9/24	Oracle force majeure on Project Jupiter	$165B NM campus for OpenAI (STACK/Blue Owl): gas pipeline Aug-26 -> Feb-27 on state regulation; power is Oracle's contractual responsibility; lease irrevocable; project debt <90c; BE (2.45GW fuel cells) -8% intraday; SB Energy delays IPO — FM clauses 'becoming more common' in DC contracts
9/24	Texas double escalation	AG Paxton probes hundreds of DCs over unfiled water-usage data; TCEQ freeze may extend beyond ERCOT review — permit-window tightening steepens (verdict 10/22)
9/24	China probes DeepSeek/Moonshot	alleged user-data transfers to Anthropic's Claude (MLex) — domestic data-border tightening in the same week as the summit's AI notification mechanism; BABA -3~4% on reported (unconfirmed) AI-probe headlines
9/25	Oracle FM, day two: the fork	Oracle reaffirms Bloom's 2.4GW fuel-cell contract (BE +8.3% to $288.70) while WSJ details 'cracks' and Barron's flags bondholder worries; ORCL -1.75% third day — equipment contracts gain an enforceability premium; credit reprices delay
9/25	Reuters: DC IPO hopefuls face tougher market	post-SB Energy delay, due diligence shifts from 'how many GW' to 'who eats the power-procurement clause / what does the project debt trade at' — the checklist itself changed
9/25	New Jersey escalation (Microsoft-linked Vineland)	record $1.1M fine for 62 unpermitted generators (NYT/Ars 9/23-24); reported 45-day shutdown-compliance deadline (Tom's Hardware headline, body unverified in CI) — 'build first, permit later' acquires an enforcement price
10/13	Oracle pipeline expedite request	Bloomberg: Oracle asks regulators to expedite the New Mexico gas pipeline — FM's engineering sequel: from 'who eats the delay' to 'how to get power faster'; ORCL -21% from the 9/8 peak (-8.8% on 10/14 alone, CPI + CoreWeave contagion)
10/14-16	Macro loads onto power duration	Sept CPI +3.7% (gas +9.1% MoM), PPI hottest since 2022, Hormuz attacks escalate (Brent $110 intraday, WTI $101.41 +10.5% wk), October hike odds 33% then back — every 25bp lifts neocloud WACC; VIX 19.99
10/14-16	Power/cooling chain de-rated	BE -21% on the week, VRT -15%, IREN -23% — 'power bottleneck' intact but beneficiaries repriced on financing duration; DLR +0.9% Friday = intra-asset defensive rotation
10/16-17	Hormuz + Texas	Two tankers hit mines Saturday (Reuters), ship attacks at record high since war began; Brent closed Friday $109.86; Paxton sends compliance letters to 156 Texas DCs on water reporting; NTT to build first Anthropic DC in Japan (Nikkei, 10/13)
10/18-20	Power bottleneck becomes contract behavior	Two same-week proofs: Microsoft walks away from Nscale Essex over grid timelines; Amazon buying billions in GB300 racks it can't power yet (BI) — one side exits, the other carries inventory cost. Texas: permits kept moving after Abbott's pause (Inside Climate News 10/19) — freeze porous, political premium deflates. Hormuz: 14-point US-Iran MOU reported + 'deal close' headlines reversed WTI to ~$99 (Brent held ~$110); Iran repeats undersea-cable threats (RFE/RL)
10/20	SpaceX joins the AI-infrastructure supply list	First public-company quarter with operating profit: revenue $14.6B (+161%), AI (data-center capacity rental) revenue $7.6B nearly tripled — past Starlink (Fortune); $431M AI operating profit (relay caliber). Tesla-SpaceX merger committees formed (WSJ/Reuters) — a new intra-group capital-loop node for AI CapEx to monitor
10/21-22	SpaceX 13GW by end-2027; oil divergence $12	SpaceX earnings-call relays: 200,000 GB300 chips added per month, 13GW of compute targeted by end-2027, price-per-watt still rising, 'can't find spare Nvidia/Google/Amazon compute despite billions' — monthly rack throughput on the order of 2GW+ for a single buyer. Bloomberg (10/22 morning, window-edge): Musk racing to seal the $3.7T SpaceX-Tesla merger before Trump exits, announcement targeted by mid-2027; Tesla cut capex 'ahead of a potential SpaceX deal' (Reuters). Oil: WTI ~$98.3 on tentative US-Iran deal headlines vs Brent $110.19 — $12 divergence; US reportedly reducing Middle East troop footprint; two-week ceasefire extension being weighed. BOK held 3.00% (post-window); WSJ: Iran's floating reserves in Asia depleted under US naval blockade.
10/22-24	The 48-hour deal collapse: oil's second leg	The tentative US-Iran deal (DW, 10/21) unwound within 48 hours: AP (10/22) — Iran says 7 tankers attacked in Hormuz; Reuters (10/23) — oil +$3 on Houthi attacks on Saudi oil + a UAE oil spill, WTI's highest settlement since April at $103.44; Brent topped $114 intraday (five-month high; Guardian cited $117 amid fears of renewed US strikes); Energy News Beat: Houthi attacks reached Saudi oil, Aramco cleared its HQ; CBS: Trump's UN ambassador says the war could last another year. Thursday's session saw the biggest Treasury rally since the 2023 banking crisis (10Y -17bp to 4.95%) alongside SOX -6.72% — a growth-scare flight to safety, not an inflation trade; Friday the Dow fell 653 (AXP + oil), VIX 19.45; gold oddly weak, -3.3% over two days to $4,010.
10/23-25	Hormuz second leg vs one-source ceasefire headlines	Saturday: IRGC claims two 'unauthorized' supertankers struck naval mines (AFP via Africanews; WANA/Mehr) — a day after 7 tankers were hit (AP 10/22). EnergyNow's same-day cluster self-contradicts: 'Trump announces two-week ceasefire, oil below $100' (06:50 GMT) overwritten by the tanker-mining headline (09:43 GMT) — ceasefire line single-source UNCONFIRMED. JPMorgan (10/23): Brent stays low-$100s even if Hormuz reopens in June; OPEC+ agrees to boost output on reopening; Goldman warns on fuel costs (Sat); Hegseth 'needs time' (ABC); Trump floats suspending the federal gas tax (ABC, Sat). a16z relay (Sat): US electrical-equipment production -9% — power equipment as next bottleneck-migration candidate.
10/25-26	Oil's de-escalation leg; SoftBank's Malaysia push; a UK cancellation	Oil: Friday settles Brent $116.72 (5-month high) / WTI $103.27; Monday intraday Brent -5%+ to ~$110, WTI ~$101.4 — driven by weekend 'framework deal close' reports with weak sourcing (EnergyNow citing a 'Pakistani source'; Iran's foreign ministry on Oman route coordinates) against Trump floating another military operation (Daily Star); NO Reuters/AP-grade ceasefire confirmation — the price trades de-escalation probability, the ceasefire remains a hypothesis; EnergyNow's Saturday 'ceasefire signed' cluster stays UNCONFIRMED. FOMC 10/28 with December-hike language as the oil-level function. SoftBank: Son picks sites for $50B Malaysia AI/DC outlay (Nikkei/Bloomberg Sunday, PM Anwar framing) after losing half its market value in four months (BusinessKorea). Microsoft reported to cancel a UK AI data-center project over power delays (TradingView relay — consistent with the 10/21 Nscale Essex exit). US midterms 11/3 enter the calendar as the fiscal/regulatory variable.
10/26-29	FOMC hold + Warsh's 8→6 meeting cut; oil holds ~$115 then -4.3% morning; permits/power as the binding constraint	FOMC 10/28: held at 3.75-4.00% in a SPLIT VOTE, inflation 3.7% 'elevated'; Warsh announced rate-setting meetings cut from 8 to 6 a year starting next year (NYT/Yahoo; MarketWatch: fewer votes at 2027-2028 meetings), said politics played 'no role' ahead of 11/3 midterms; 10Y back to 5.05% (+6bp Wednesday); December is the next pricing point (TheStreet reads a December-hike hint; consensus holds skip-then-hike). Oil: Brent settled $115.81 Mon / $113.88 Tue / $115.32 Wed; Thursday intraday -4.3% to ~$110, WTI ~$101.5 (live-bar calibers); no Reuters/AP-grade ceasefire confirmation through the window; our Brent verdict reads 10/30. The permits/power bottleneck got two formal documents: Microsoft's capex cut attributed to AI capacity delays (power/delivery timelines) and Anthropic's S-1 naming US data-center moratoriums as a growth risk — the Texas freeze line of 9/22 graduates into IPO risk factors; watch PCE 10/30 and the midterms 11/3.
10/29-30	PCE 3.6% in line; Brent holds above $110 (verdict: hit); the cash-flow-asset rotation	September PCE released Thursday 08:30 ET: 3.6% YoY (in line; core 3.1%) with Q3 GDP beating — no new inflation shock; the selloff was earnings/positioning-driven, and the December FOMC (now on a 6-meetings calendar) stays the next pricing point. Oil: Brent settled $114.88 Thursday (settlements this week $115.81/$113.88/$115.32/$114.88) — held above $110 through our 10-18 verdict window (HIT); Friday intraday ~$112.3; WTI settled $102.00. WSJ frames diplomacy-vs-Saudi-attacks; Morgan Stanley cut oil forecasts; CNBC (10/28): US reportedly told Gulf states to prepare for Iran strikes AFTER the 11/3 midterms. Rotation tell on Thursday's risk-off: EQIX +2.88%, DLR +1.75%, VRT +1.2% (after +16.5% Wednesday on Q3 orders +100%, sales +61% — caught up in this edition after the 10-29 issue missed it; Barron's: 'set a new bar for AI stocks') — cash-generative AI infrastructure bid while FCF-burning platforms sold. 10Y 4.99 (-6bp); gold ~$4,014; BTC below $77K.
10/30-31	Brent settles at six-month highs ($117.64); midterms put power/DC on the ballot; flight-to-quality bonds	Oil: Brent settled $117.64 Friday (+2.4%, six-month-high settlement; ~+14% for October — Reuters/MSN) as Iran said four tankers struck mines in the Strait of Hormuz, one catching fire (Seeking Alpha/OilPrice); US reportedly told Gulf states to prepare for Iran strikes AFTER the 11/3 midterms (CNBC 10/28) — the $110-118 platform hardens with the post-election window as the next directional event. Macro tape Friday: 10Y -6bp to 4.93 (bonds rallying WITH oil = flight to quality), VIX 19.42, gold -3.29% to $3,898.9 (risk-off anomaly, second straight week), BTC ~$77.2-77.6K. Politics: Reuters/Politico (10/31) — power bills and data centers turn sleepy utility races into midterm battlegrounds; ITI issued industry 'responsible data center growth' commitments. Cash-flow AI assets outperformed the rout for a second day: EQIX -2.22%, DLR -1.21% vs SOX -7.20% (VRT -5.46%, ORCL -6.37%).
10/31-11/2	Brent -6% from the six-month high on Doha's 'two-day' reopening plan; midterms put power/DC on the ballot	Oil: Brent fell ~6% Monday morning to ~$110.6 from Friday's six-month-high settle ($117.64; ~+14% for October) after Iran's official statement that a Qatar-brokered plan could reopen Hormuz 'within two days if the US accepts key demands' — third day of indirect Doha talks, Qatar mediating a $6bn Iranian-asset release that could lead to reopening, possibly before Tuesday's midterms (Guardian, diplomatic editor); Araghchi: 'the US response will determine the outcome'; WSJ confirmed futures falling on diplomacy hopes; Goldman cut oil forecasts on the reopening deal (EnergyNow relay). Trap discipline: every October de-escalation single-source headline failed (10/25, 10/26) — this time it is an official Iranian statement plus an actual -6% futures vote, but Washington has NOT accepted and CNBC's 10/28 post-election strike-prep reporting remains live: the $110-118 platform break is a hypothesis until consecutive settles confirm. WTI ~$101.1 (-2.9%); 10Y 4.93 Friday close. Midterms 11/3: Reuters — power bills and data centers turn utility races into battlegrounds; France24 'data centres on the ballot'; The Times on lifelong Republicans flipping; Texas Democrats campaign on DCs (ABC); Axios: OpenAI's post-election power play — political risk spreads from permitting to electricity pricing, first nationwide test Tuesday. (Trap archived: EnergyNow Sat 'US House to vote on data-center power bill' = September re-crawl of the 9/25 417-3 vote.)
11/2-11/3	Brent's biggest one-day drop since July breaks the $110-118 platform; midterms put DC restrictions on dozens of ballots; US 'defensive' strikes on Qeshm (post-window)	Oil: a draft US-Iran peace proposal circulated Monday (UPI/OilPrice) with Iran saying it would reopen Hormuz 'in two days' as part of a deal (NYT; Trump 'could happen,' Vance optimistic) — Brent settled ~$104-105, the biggest one-day drop since July (~-8%, TradingView/Gulf News), first settle through the $110-118 platform; WTI ~$96.5 back under $100; Morgan Stanley and Goldman cut oil forecasts. Post-window (~09:00-11:00 CST): after Iranian fire at US aircraft, American forces conducted 'defensive' strikes on Iran's Qeshm Island (WSJ exclusive; CNN/Guardian/France24/CBS) — Tuesday morning Brent ~$104.8 FLAT: the market prices the strikes as tactical and the deal as alive; the contrary reads (PBS: delegation left Doha; Iran FM: no reopening without ending the blockade) keep the fork wide open into election night, when Iran's 48-hour window expires. Midterms 11/3: Bloomberg — DC restrictions make the ballot in dozens of US cities (Forbes full list; Reuters 'sectors brace'; CNET 'bipartisan headache'; Bernstein contrarian buy on election risk); first polls close 19:00 ET = Wednesday 08:00 CST. Macro prints: S&P -0.51% 7,541.40, Nasdaq -1.07% 25,164.36, Dow +0.41% 51,984 (the oil-crash rotation), VIX 21.15, 10Y 4.89 (-4bp); gold $3,938 (third weak week), BTC ~$76.6K. Transmission: oil -8% → second-round CPI impulse marked down → December-hike repricing is the bigger variable than any single print — yet duration assets haven't caught it (money went to the Dow/value first). Tonight: AMD/ANET/SMCI reports x midterm results x Iran deadline.
11/3-11/4	Brent confirms the platform break (second settle <$108); election night opens the political leg	Oil: Brent settled $103.60 / WTI $96.09 Tuesday (-1%, near four-week lows; Reuters' Scott DiSavino: Ukraine AND Iran peace-talk hopes outweigh escalation worries) — the SECOND consecutive settle below $108 confirms the $110-118 platform break (our 11/9 watch item threshold); OilPrice logged a $6 Brent flash crash on the Qeshm strike that was fully bought back — strikes priced tactical, the deal priced alive; Iran drew a 7-condition red line for reopening Hormuz (NDTV) while Trump said Iran 'wants a settlement'; Citi raised its 2026 Brent forecast but sees $150 if Hormuz disruption persists; Wednesday intraday ~$102.7 (post-window). US tape: S&P +0.37% 7,568.92, Nasdaq +0.83% 25,372.01 (AI heavies rebound ahead of results, Reuters), SOX +2.63% 10,600.40, Dow -0.38%; VIX 20.83, 10Y 4.95 (+6bp). Election night (post-window): first polls closed 08:00 CST; early results favor Democrats (PBS: Virginia, Georgia); futures slid with the dollar softening (Reuters Singapore: ES -1.2%/NQ -2.0% ~10:55 CST), BTC slipped; Nikkei -3%+ Wednesday (Kyodo/TradingView: 'Democratic gains hit AI stocks'), KOSPI -3.3%, SKH -5.4%. Ten states voted on data-center-related ballot measures (Ballotpedia; WaPo full landscape); Trenton, Ohio's DC measure leading early; Yardeni: blue wave = 'cold shower for stocks' (fiscal gridlock + higher yields); UBS: 50% sweep probability. Tomorrow's digest: item-by-item DC ballot outcomes + congressional composition.
11/4-11/7	Voters reject data centers 40:1; Democrats sweep Congress; the political-risk complex goes federal; oil's war premium unwinds to $94.62-97.76	Ballots (Wed-Thu): CNBC — voters rebuffed data centers in EVERY ballot measure except one; Scientific American scorecard: 41 measures, 1 win; Fortune: Ohio piled onto its 125 moratoriums; PBS: opposition 'foreshadows tougher regulations ahead.' Congress: Democrats confirmed the sweep; Reuters: 'Democrats planning flood of AI bills when they take control of Congress' (CryptoBriefing decomposes: moratorium + energy-efficiency standards + ratepayer protection, from January); CNBC: top Democrats call for a 'national data center moratorium now'; Rep. Yassamin Ansari: pause advanced AI development + ban artificial superintelligence (Yahoo); the veto wall stands (MSN). Markets Wed: S&P +1.58%/Dow +3.04% vs SOX -3.12%; clean energy ripped (First Solar +9%, Enphase +9%, SolarEdge -8%); CNBC attributes the monster rally to Trump 'quickly making peace'; VRT -12.90% — ratepayer politics splits the grid into two asset classes. NVDA political line: The Information/CNBC — House GOP leaders asked Huang for a closed-door briefing on the reported Chinese spy link (Gizmodo: the operative worked for China's top spy agency); FT (Tue): Nvidia ordered DC clients to cut China exposure. Oil: Brent settled $94.62 Wednesday (-8.7%, lowest since the war began, first settle <$100), $98.29 Thursday (two tankers mined), $97.76 Friday — Iran calls the Oman ceasefire 'final stages,' Trump says Hormuz reopens 'soon'; $760M positioned short for the reopening (EnergyNow); -17% from the 10/30 peak settle of $117.64. Payrolls Friday: +165K (consensus ~65K), unemployment 4.1% — December hike odds UP (Morningstar) even as oil disinflation builds: the Fed leg is two-sided now. Pensions: 24/7 counts $578B of state-pension AI exposure; Korea's National Pension -$131.9B (opposition figure) — the political-economy feedback loop (losses → voter pressure → legislation → losses) is live.
11/7-11/9	Anthropic buys 1.7GW of gas generators for $3.4B (FT) — the power bottleneck becomes a lab balance-sheet line; Georgia's utility board flips	FT (Sun 11/8, ChosunBiz English by Lee Ho-jun): Anthropic struck a $3.4B deal for gas-fired generators — ~1.7GW, one of the largest generator purchases on record, 'jumping the queue' as grid interconnection queues run in years — the bottleneck migration to power in file-level form, and a political adaptation (on-site gas) against Democrats' power-cap agenda. Politics hardening: Georgia Democrats won utility-board seats after the data-center backlash (FOX 5 Atlanta); Guardian: several Democrats renew DC-pause calls; The Well News: tougher DC restrictions planned for 2027; AI-safety advocates claimed gains after a $110M midterm push (Japan Times). Oil: Brent settled $98.32 Friday (Yahoo bar; corrects the 11/07 issue's $97.76 intraday figure) after $103.60/$94.62/$98.29; ~$97.8 Monday, WTI ~$90.8; ceasefire 'final stages' narrative intact without a signed Hormuz-reopening announcement.
11/9-11/10	The oil leg unwinds: US-Iran tentative peace deal takes Brent to a ~$92.6 settle — and the rates leg decouples ahead of tonight's CPI	DW (Mon 11/9): US and Iran announced a tentative peace deal; Trump: the war is 'effectively over' (Business Standard); Qatar leads the push; terms contested (Anadolu: Iran denies an $8B-for-reopening swap; Rubio reported rejecting Iran's terms — single source). Rigzone (Bloomberg wire): Brent settled ~$92.6 Monday, -5.9%, lowest since August; WTI ~$86; the week through Friday was -16%, the biggest weekly drop since 2020; Morgan Stanley and Goldman cut oil forecasts; MS/GS had already trimmed on the Hormuz-reopening trajectory. Tuesday intraday (post-window): Brent $91.7, WTI $85.9. The decoupling: Treasury yields ROSE Monday ahead of CPI (CNBC); Natixis argues a December hike is still warranted; SA calls October inflation 'stubborn' — October CPI lands tonight 21:30 CST (correcting the 11/09 calendar's 11/12 mis-date) and adjudicates whether the rates leg follows the oil leg down.
11/10-11/11	The power bottleneck's first big balance-sheet penalty: SoftBank's -$7B quarter with a $3.7B equipment charge hits GE Vernova; SpaceX wants a tax break for a $24B gas plant + supercomputer	SoftBank Q2 FY26: swung to a ~-$7B loss — US data center costs + a $3.7B charge tied to power-generating equipment (the Ohio project under 'a thorough reassessment') + Intel share decline + financing costs (Bloomberg/CNBC/Reuters/WSJ); GE Vernova fell -3.90% on the reassessment (intraday 'nearly -10%' reading flagged; Reuters); SoftBank -11% in Tokyo Wednesday (post-window). Reading: equipment ordered, projects re-queued — turbine/generator order-book timing risk priced for the first time; the mirror image of Anthropic's $3.4B/1.7GW generator purchase (queue-jumping vs. queue-penalty). SpaceX: a Nov. 6 city notice shows a $24B initial-phase gas plant + 'super-compute facility' on 444 acres at Starbase seeking a Chapter 312 property-tax exemption — Starbase City Commission votes 12/9 (24/7; Texas Tribune). Oil: Brent briefly broke below $90 Tuesday for the first time since August before recovering to ~$92 (CNBC; Tuesday settle bar missing); Iran's top security official says 'no talks underway' vs. Trump's 'war effectively over' — unsigned deal. CBS/BloombergNEF: AI DC energy costs hit low-income/rural households hardest; power demand set to surge.
11/11-11/12	SoftBank's one-day round trip digests the power penalty; the oil leg re-widens as Iran rejects a key nuclear demand	SoftBank Tokyo Wednesday: opened -7.2% (Y3,592), intraday low -10.5% (Y3,465 — the '-11%' that made Tuesday's snapshots), closed -0.44% at Y3,855 — the $3.7B equipment charge was digested in a single V-shaped session; GEV +1.41% the same day (vs. Tuesday's -3.9%); Thursday morning SoftBank +1.17%. Oil: Brent settled $92.76 Wednesday (+1.4%; Tuesday's settle backfilled $91.49 via bar) — WSJ: 'rebound as Middle East supply risks persist'; EnergyNow: Iran rejected a key US nuclear demand, shipping attacks near the Strait renewed, US strikes on Iranian launchers near Hormuz (single source UNCONFIRMED); FXStreet (post-window): Iran says the Strait stays closed 'until the leader of the revolution orders.' The 'oil-unwind' narrative muddied again: unsigned-deal double-speak (Trump 'war effectively over' vs. Iran 'no talks') continues; December hike fully priced + Wednesday bonds closed (Veterans Day) = tonight's bond reopen against an NVDA gap-down is the real duration test. Democrats' 2027 list extends toward DC tax breaks (TIKR).
11/12-11/13	The rates/oil double-leg tightens on the same day the founder era ended: bonds reopened from Veterans Day with 10Y at 5.10% (+10bp; RealMoney Pro 'yields jump as Nvidia ousts Huang'; BigGo Friday caliber: 5.13% touch, 'three straight Fed hikes' risk warnings; Korean market rates up on 50bp-December speculation). Brent settled $95.82 +3.30% (WTI $88.74 +2.55%) on attacks on Saudi energy sites and Strait of Hormuz disruptions (Reuters); counter-flow: US and Iran received a framework ceasefire proposal (EnergyNow); Trump sidelines Vance from Iran diplomacy (Yahoo); Citi's $150 tail if Hormuz disruption persists. Risk appetite cracks: BTC broke $72K Thursday (NVDA-resignation selloff + midterm sweep stalling the crypto bill, StoneX/TradingView) to ~$69.3K Friday morning (-6%-grade); gold below $3,900, a one-year low; October existing-home sales at a 16-year low (BigGo). Power equities the lone green strip Thursday: GEV +1.27%, VRT +1.52% (third straight up); SoftBank Tokyo -3.04% Y3,738 then -3.05% more Friday (Y3,624, third down). Tonight: October PPI (biggest yearly rise since 2022 expected).
11/13-11/14	The rates leg completed its 'third straight up-day': October PPI +0.3% m/m, 6.5% y/y — highest since 2022, core above expectations, inflation 'broadening' (Yahoo) — 10Y closed 5.15% (5.00→5.10→5.15, +15bp w/w); December fully priced, 50bp talk alive; equities still printed the Nasdaq's best week since August — the one-off-vs-path disagreement gets arbitrated at ANTP's 11/18 pricing. Oil: Brent settled $96.08 +0.27% (bar); EnergyNow's same-day contradiction ('ceasefire deal signed' 17:53 vs 'market awaits possible deal' 22:25) stays single-source/untrusted; Trump: 'no deal necessary' while sidelining Vance (Al Jazeera); Hormuz near a standstill. Risk appetite: BTC ~$67.0K Saturday (~-9% w/w; Fear & Greed 20 'Extreme Fear'); gold below $3,900. SoftBank's fourth straight down day Y3,547 (-8% over three) keeps pricing the $3.7B power write-down — the 'punished for queueing' side; power equities' Thursday streak ended Friday (GEV -1.88%, VRT -3.61%). Kioxia x Dell: 157PB in a single 42U rack (640 LC9 245.76TB SSDs) — the enterprise-SSD density race's engineering footnote. SpaceX Starbase's $24B gas plant + supercomputer faces the 12/9 city-council vote.

AI CapEx、电力与数据中心投资追踪

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